Nothing is constant and never is that more true than when discussing a force in a reaction. ISIS were always going to be and the West ensured that ISIS would evolve from dissatisfaction, frustration, anger and humiliation.
We propped up Governments who we knew would pursue our interests and their own – but never the people’s. ISIS are now in a state of flux, regrouping and ensuring they engage with those who do not want a Taliban Government in Afghanistan and a Western-backed form of democracy in Yemen, Libya, Syria and Iraq.
The Middle East has become a proxy for whoever can supply and arm it. President Trump is right to want to walk away from it all. If I were in Government I would say ‘I’m off call me back when you have Peace’.
Our dependence on Oil is decreasing so why should we be at the beck and call of a region that needs to find its own future rather than one we say it should have.
I want Peace for the Middle East but sometimes you have to walk away and let the ‘water find its own level’. The killing of innocent civilians has to stop – but how to do that?
ISIS is not one person. It has moderates as well as extremists. However, unless we bring Peace to Afghanistan we face the risk of a ‘Terrorist Superpower’. If Al Qaeda, ISIS, the Taliban and Al Shabaab combine into a Military Force and not as disconnected terrorist organisations then we will face a new war in the Middle East. Afghanistan and Pakistan could end up as the latest Proxy War with China and Russia supporting whoever the U.S and West does not.
Therefore, we first need to stabilize Afghanistan and that means the US and the Taliban siting down and butting heads. The Taliban do not want ISIS in Afghanistan. They are fighting for their Country – ISIS were not invited.
ISIS has a Leader who will not turn back from the road he has taken. ISIS will continue to act as dragnet for anybody who has a grudge and a fanaticism. The terrorism will get worse a lot worse as other factors such as Climate Change refugees and a hardening of Western attitudes towards refugees and Aid cause more poverty and more isolation for those who have no Government to help them.
There are 65 million refugees and it is increasing. In that 65 million are those who ISIS will recruit for suicide bombing.
We must isolate ISIS. To do that we need a ‘united’ United Nations Security Council. Nobody is going to say you are in Cloud Cuckoo Land if you summarise that Russia and China are not ‘sympathetic’ to the needs of ISIS. Until the U.S, China and Russia are all on the same page for World Peace ISIS will continue to exist.
Will ISIS become political? It already has. It uses its version of the Quran as a Mandate voted in by the People who support ISIS to carry out as much carnage as possible to innocent people in the hope that they can enlarge their footprint.
I have warned the U.S and the U.K of the dangers of not being able to combat the ISIS Ideology. In particular I have advised Prime Minster May of the dangers of not supporting ‘New Philosophy ’ but Prime Minister May is as deaf to ‘New forms of Counter Terrorism’ as she is to any new idea not from her Ivory Tower of Political Isolationism.
Where the danger lies is in the evolvement of a Political Group who combine all the Terrorist Groups ideologues into a form of Political Philosophy to be used by the disaffected leading to internal unrest and uprisings in many countries – that will happen unless the West stops acting the hypocrite. The West must act as the International Convention of Human Rights demands. This must include a reformed militarised United Nations backed by every member of an enlarged Security Council to bring Peace to the many conflicts in the World.
ISIS are but a seed of disaffection and extremism. ISIS will continue to grow unless we deal with why it exists.