My answer to Is there any evidence to suggest that flight travel will become riskier as a result of climate change?
Answer by Desmond Last:
It is accepted that our climate is becoming more unpredictable. Even if you do agree it is man-made there is plenty of evidence to show that the extremes of weather are becoming greater and more frequent.
This question is a useful one because it has to deal with the effects of a Global Climate System that is making it more difficult to predict the weather and hence safe flying conditions.
Therefore this as if you were the most vocal climate change skeptic in the world who would rather die a slow death being eaten by giant swamp rats then agree climate change was a problem. But if the skeptic lived in Fort Mac Alberta, when the bush-fire reached his door He would not sit there and be burned alive, he would run for his life.
The airline industry like the rest of the Global Business World have ignored Climate Change and instead have accepted the inadequate response of Governments and John Kerry’s Paris 21 Agreement.
Too worried about the cost of dealing with climate change and job losses they have not questioned the Government's inability to provide verifiable facts and solutions.
Your question can be answered by reading Gloria Kulesa report who is the Team Leader for the FAA’s Aviation Weather Research Program. She has produced a readable and factual report on the effects of Climate Change and the Aviation Industry.
There are several other factors to consider besides those detailed in the report.
The structural integrity of an aircraft design is determined by the conditions under which it will operate. A factor of safety is built into every design. So a design, which is by operating conditions, is required to withstand a wing loading at it most flexible point of 844kg/m2 (McDonnell Douglas MD-11) will be required to exceed that for conditions outside the predictable safety window.
Bearing in mind that computer design have meant that the factor of safety is offset by cost and weight.
How then can we expect aircraft designers to take into account operating conditions which cannot be predicted?
More importantly we do not have an accurate and verifiable modeling system. We cannot say to the Boeing wing designers you will now have to design to 1200kg/m2 ,with the same payload, because the thermals are going to increase over the Pacific by x pressure.
Boeing and other Aircraft manufacturers and operators such as Richard Branson and Virgin need to demand of Governments, and in particular the U.K Government that my systems and ideas are able to be presented by me to the world. For the U.K Gov and the CAA to stop me presenting my ideas to the world is criminal negligence.
Because I can bet that right now at Boeing and other aircraft manufacturers they are saying we can no longer design for predictable operating conditions.
Once again I ask. Why are my ideas for cliamte change being ignored by Obama Cameron and John Kerry who have not even devoted one brain cell to this quesion?